New LISPOP projection suggests PC’s en route to majority government

A new seat projection from The Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy suggests the Conservatives are on their way to a majority government.

The latest seat projection from LISPOP shows the Conservatives have 63 seats, the NDP have 54 and the Liberals have 7, but it’s noted that there are still some constituencies that are too close to call.

Associate Professor Barry Kay says when it comes to the popular vote the Conservatives are down from 43% from the end of April to 35%.

“The NDP has jumped up from 23% to, at the moment, 38%, the Liberals are down from 27% to 20%, but if anything I suspect the real numbers are even lower than that now,” says Kay. “The point is, public opinion has been moving, it’s still moving.”

He says locally, the Kitchener South-Hespeler and the Cambridge riding are too close to call.

“But the NDP is clearly gaining in urban areas in Southern Ontario as well, they are certainly sweeping Northern Ontario.”

Ontarians head to the polls on June 7th.

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